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RBA Hike Odds Near 95% - What Comes After 4.60%?

Published 2026-09-23T00:44:17.826Z / YouTube _fXEyj3CaB0

Markets priced the chance of a move to 4.60% near 95%; that is market pricing, not a decided rate increase.

What happened

Markets priced the chance of a move to 4.60% near 95%; that is market pricing, not a decided rate increase.

Why it matters

Core inflation at 3.6%, high energy costs and excess demand keep upside risk alive, shifting attention toward a potential peak near 4.85%.

What to watch

Watch next: September 29 decision and whether another hike remains in play.

Transcript

Markets priced the chance of a move to 4.60% near 95%; that is market pricing, not a decided rate increase. Core inflation at 3.6%, high energy costs and excess demand keep upside risk alive, shifting attention toward a potential peak near 4.85%. Watch next: September 29 decision and whether another hike remains in play. FreshInsight delivers source-grounded finance briefs for market professionals. Source: Reuters Not financial advice. For information and education only.

Primary sources

Reuters

Distribution

YouTube / _fXEyj3CaB0

Topics

inflation, interest-rates, finance-shorts, finance-news, monetary-policy, household-financing-costs, rate-hike-odds, terminal-rate

Disclaimer

Information and education only. Not financial advice.

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